28 Giugno 2024

5 spunti per approfondire (26/2024)


La rubrica settimanale con i consigli di lettura di RivistaEnergia.it, dall’Europa e dal mondo. Settimana 26/2024

“Oil was steady near its highest close in eight weeks amid simmering geopolitical tensions from Yemen to Russia. Brent crude traded near $86 a barrel, after settling on Monday at the strongest level since late April. Houthi militants have ramped up their attacks on ships off Yemen recently, while the BBC reported that Russia has blamed the US for a missile strike on occupied Crimea and warned of “consequences.” Another bullish factor for futures is tighter supply in the months ahead. Global markets are set for a supply deficit in the coming quarter, the International Energy Agency said in its June Oil Market Report earlier this month.”

Oil Holds Near Eight-Week High on Escalating Political Tensions
Articolo – Bloomberg

“The majority of Britain’s onshore renewable energy projects are failing to get beyond the planning stage, according to analysis that highlights the challenges the country still faces in hitting its clean energy targets. Sixty-three per cent of the roughly 4,000 applications submitted for wind, solar and battery projects between 2018 and 2023 have been refused, abandoned, withdrawn, or had their planning permission expire, according to Cornwall Insight, an energy consultancy. A further 18 per cent have been sent back for revision, leaving only a fifth of projects either waiting for a planning decision or ready to be built.”

Bulk of UK renewables projects fail to get beyond planning stage
Articolo – Financial Times

“The Biden administration wants to keep gas prices stable ahead of the election by encouraging oil to flow into global markets. The effort has run square into another priority: being tough on adversaries Russia, Iran and Venezuela. The policy has led to softer-than-expected sanctions on major oil producers, according to diplomats, former government officials and energy-industry players briefed by current officials. A case in point arrived on Tuesday, when the U.S. levied fresh sanctions against Iran. The measures affect a fraction of the country’s oil exports and are unlikely to gum up global markets, analysts said.”

Biden Wants to Be Tough With Russia and Iran—But Wants Low Gas Prices Too
Articolo – The Wall Street Journal

“French citizens will go to the polls for two rounds of voting on 30 June and 7 July to elect deputies to the national assembly. Following the results of the European parliamentary elections earlier in June, French president Emmanuel Macron called a snap election. (He himself is not up for reelection until 2027.) Macron’s centrists had suffered a “crushing defeat”, securing just 15% of the vote, less than half the tally for Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National or RN).  Subsequently, the president took what he described as the “serious” and “heavy” decision to dissolve the country’s national assembly as an “act of confidence” in the French people. Candidates had until 16 June to register for the 577 seats in the lower house of the national assembly, with campaigning then officially starting on Monday 17 June – just 13 days before the first round of voting is set to take place. In the interactive grid below, Carbon Brief tracks the commitments made by each of the main party alliances in their election manifestos, across a range of issues related to climate and energy.”

France election 2024: What the manifestos say on energy and climate
Articolo – Carbon Brief

“Greenflation or inflation for green energy transition in Europe, it becomes a structural problem of new scarcity and poverty, because the Green Deal and its fiscal and monetary policies. In this paper, it is paid attention to the Green financial bubble and the European greenflation paradox: in order to achieve greater future social wellbeing, due to a looming climate risk, present wellbeing and wealth is reduced, causing a real and ongoing risk of social impoverishment. According to the European Union data, it is going to show the relations between green transition (emissions, tax, debt, credit boom, etc.), GDP and inflation. As many emissions are reduced, there is a decrease of GDP (once deflated) and GDP per capita, evidencing social deflation, which in turn means more widespread poverty and a reduction of middle-class. Also, there is a risk of a green-bubble, like in the Great Recession of 2008 (but this time supported by the European Union) and possible stagflation. To analyze this problem, it is used here some econometric tools, but under the theoretical support of heterodox approaches, especially the Austrian Economics and the New-Institutional Schools.”

European Green Deal, Energy Transition & Greenflation Paradox: How public policies can produce new scarcity
Ricerca – Martin García-Vaquero, Frank Daumann, Antonio Sánchez-Bayón

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